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Has the UK stock market jumped the gun?

As the UK stock market remains fairly buoyant, even in the face of disappointing economic data regarding the UK economy, many people are starting to wonder whether the UK stock market has jumped the gun and priced in a recovery sooner than it may happen. Despite often disappointing economic data over the last few months, the stock market has remained fairly buoyant in relation to the economic outlook, both in the short term and the medium term.

As we have mentioned on numerous occasions, the UK stock market is said to look forward nine months and price stocks on their medium-term outlook. Whether this is true or not remains to be seen, although it is often the subject of much debate, but ultimately the UK stock market does look forward and tries to price in various events. It is difficult to say whether the UK stock market has effectively jumped the gun at the moment and priced in an early recovery which may not materialise.

However, it would appear safe to say that any economic recovery, and consequently any recovery in the UK stock market, is still fairly fragile at the moment and will remain so until we see definitive evidence of a turnaround in economy and a return of confidence to the consumer and business markets. When this will happen is anybody's guess.

If you are looking to invest into the UK stock market you should take professional financial advice at the earliest opportunity.

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