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UK stock market reports largest ever quarterly rise

The UK stock market rose by an impressive 21% between July and September 2009, a record single quarter return since the creation of the FTSE 100 index back in 1994. While the market was down slightly today, the fact that investors appear so adamant that the UK recession is nearing an end would appear to be at odds with some analysts who are not convinced that the UK recession will end as quickly as many investors believe. So what next?

The next few months in the UK will be dominated by the general election even though many analysts and investors have already pencilled in a Conservative party victory. However, as we reported in one of our earlier posts it looks as though a significant reduction in credit available to UK consumers and UK businesses could well hold back any short to medium-term recovery in the UK economy. When you consider that cash flow is still a problem for many people and many businesses in the UK, a lack of liquidity in the credit markets could yet come back to haunt some overenthusiastic investors.

It will be interesting to see how the UK stock market reacts over the coming weeks and months as hopes and fears for the UK recession continue to mount even though many people have erred on the side of a short term recovery rather than further problems.

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