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Is Cadbury in play?

As we covered in one of our earlier post, today's trading statement from Cadbury contained a number of positive figures and forecasts for the future and in fact took many analysts and investors by surprise. Initially the shares were marked up by around 1.2% although they have since fallen back to around eight pounds against an indicative offer price from Kraft Foods of around £7.26. So what next for Cadbury?

Initially there had been hopes that Kraft Foods would return with a knockout bid for the company, despite the fact there is no formal bid on the table, but at this moment in time it seems unlikely. If no other bidder is willing to join the party then we may see Cadbury and Kraft Foods enter negotiations with the possibility of a slight increase on the existing indicative bid but no knockout offer.

While there is no doubt that Cadbury is trading well in these most difficult of times there is also no doubt that the share price of Cadbury is supported by the indicative offer from Kraft Foods. What would happen to the share price if the potential US suitor was to walk away is open to debate and something that many shareholders would rather not contemplate.

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