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Could BP be taken over?

The share price of BP has collapsed since the Gulf of Mexico oil disaster occurred and fallen to such a level that some analysts believe the company could actually become a takeover target. Indeed there has also been talk that the company is looking towards bankruptcy protection in the US although this has been denied by management.

While on the surface BP could easily become a takeover target we need to appreciate the situation at the moment both for BP and the oil industry as a whole. Nobody has any idea how much it will cost to clean up the Gulf of Mexico oil slick and there is also the real threat of fines from the US government as well as compensation to affected parties. When you also take into account the likelihood that oil exploration licences could be few and far between in the future and indeed many companies could be forced to suspend current offshore activities the problems begin to mount.

Against this backdrop the financial strength of companies such as Shell Transport and Trading could be impacted in the medium to longer term therefore making a potential bid for BP very risky. The share price of BP has fluctuated enormously over the last few weeks and registered its biggest recovery for some time on Friday.

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