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Could the fear of inflation lead to a self-fulfilling prophecy?

Over the last few weeks it has become apparent that many experts fear inflation could be the potential fly in the ointment which could derail the UK economic recovery. A report by the Bank of England recently confirmed that consumers and business leaders in the UK believe that inflation is set to rise yet further in the short-term which could force the Bank of England to increase UK base rates against its better judgment.

There are a number of external factors out of the control of the Bank of England and the UK government which are influencing inflation and will continue to influence it for some time to come. Pushing UK base rates higher would reduce credit and liquidity in the money markets and would also reduce demand and pressure on prices. This comes at a time when the UK economy is crying out for all the help it can get and a reduction in liquidity and credit is the last thing needed at the moment.

It will be interesting to see whether the doomsday scenario of higher inflation and higher base rates does actually come to fruition because this could actually push the UK economy back into a deep and damaging recession.

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