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UK profit warnings continue to fall

The number of profit warnings issued by UK listed companies fell to its lowest level for seven years in the second quarter of 2010. Between April and June there were only 45 profit warnings as opposed to 53 in the previous three months, but is this a sign that the UK economy is recovering?

While there is no doubt we did see a significant improvement in the UK economy in the latter part of 2009 there is also no doubt that public sector budget cuts and tax increases will take much of the momentum out of the fragile UK economic recovery. As a consequence, it is likely that the second half of 2010 will be very different to the first half and we could in fact see another bout of profit warnings being issued. This will obviously have a detrimental effect on the UK stock market, investor confidence and could ultimately impact upon liquidity in the money markets.

Even though the UK is likely to avoid a double dip recession there will certainly be challenging economic times ahead over the next decade. Many people have yet to realise the massive impact which the credit crunch and resulting recession have had not only on the UK economy but also UK government finances.

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