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Last hope for the UK economy evaporates

Many analysts believe that exports from the UK business arena hold the key to the economic prospects for the country in the short to medium term. Those who have been looking towards the export market will today be dismayed to learn that exports fell by 2.1% in August which signalled the end of a period during which UK exports had shown signs of strength.

The only reason that exports from the UK were performing better than the overall UK economy was the relatively low exchange rate of sterling. However, even though imports also fell, the decline in exports is a worry especially at this stage of the economic cycle. Interestingly there was a very different mix between EU and non-EU exports with Eurozone exports up by 1.3% over the period and non-EU export down by a massive 4.9%.

Those UK businesses who were pinning their hopes on an improvement in exports will now be looking elsewhere to keep their businesses afloat. This is a very disappointing development for the UK economy and one which could have far reaching consequences in the short to medium term. Will this be the straw which broke the camel's back and forced the UK government to introduce fiscal stimulus programs sooner rather than later?

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